Zambia · Super League · Matchweek 1013:00

13:00 UTC

Sunday, 29 November 2026

· Analysis updated 19:25 UTC

Power Dynamos vs Konkola Blades Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Power Dynamos and 1.03 for Konkola Blades, a combined total of 2.19. That distribution gives Power Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Power Dynamos home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Konkola Blades away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Power Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 29% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.16 goals for Power Dynamos and 1.03 for Konkola Blades, a combined 2.19 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Power Dynamos win39%
Draw29%
Konkola Blades win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams to score44%

Correct score

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–013.0%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 0–011.3%
  • 2–17.7%

Recent form

Power Dynamos

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trident · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nchanga Rangers · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Merreikh · 0-1 (L)

Konkola Blades

  • 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nchanga Rangers · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs NAPSA Stars · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-14T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mines · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Power Dynamos · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Red Arrows · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.