Zambia · Super League · Matchweek 2013:00

3 – 0

Wednesday, 8 April 2026

· Analysis updated 00:32 UTC

Power Dynamos vs Mines Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Power Dynamos and 0.84 for Mines, a combined total of 2.32. That distribution gives Power Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Power Dynamos win

52.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 0.84

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Power Dynamos home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Mines away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Power Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 26% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Power Dynamos and 0.84 for Mines, a combined 2.32 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Power Dynamos win53%
Draw26%
Mines win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score44%

Correct score

  • 1–014.6%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 2–010.8%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–19.0%

Recent form

Power Dynamos

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trident · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nchanga Rangers · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Merreikh · 0-1 (L)

Mines

  • 2026-05-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Green Eagles · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ZESCO United · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mutondo Stars · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zanaco · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Power Dynamos win, at 52.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.