Zambia · Super League · Matchweek 3413:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 23 May 2026

Arthur Davies Stadium · Analysis updated 19:26 UTC

Power Dynamos vs Mufulira Wanderers Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Power Dynamos and 0.50 for Mufulira Wanderers, a combined total of 1.83. That distribution gives Power Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Power Dynamos win

57.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 0.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Power Dynamos home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Mufulira Wanderers away threat

    Scored in 0 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Power Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 29% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Power Dynamos and 0.50 for Mufulira Wanderers, a combined 1.83 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Power Dynamos win57%
Draw29%
Mufulira Wanderers win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams to score29%

Correct score

  • 1–021.4%
  • 0–016.1%
  • 2–014.2%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 0–18.1%

Recent form

Power Dynamos

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trident · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nchanga Rangers · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Al Merreikh · 0-1 (L)

Mufulira Wanderers

  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ZESCO United · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Red Arrows · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Green Eagles · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Power Dynamos · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Arrows · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Power Dynamos win, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.