Estadio Municipal Pozoblanco · Analysis updated 09:49 UTC
Pozoblanco vs Córdoba II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for Pozoblanco and 0.84 for Córdoba II, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Pozoblanco the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pozoblanco win
65.9% probability
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pozoblanco home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Córdoba II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.7%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–08.1%
Recent form
Pozoblanco
- 2026-05-10T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Córdoba II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Chiclana · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Conil · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Central · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Utrera · 1-1 (D)
Córdoba II
- 2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Pozoblanco · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Conil · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dos Hermanas · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Tomares · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Chiclana · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 2-2 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2026-05-10T10:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 2-2 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2026-01-11T11:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 2-1 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2025-03-09T11:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 0-0 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2024-10-27T11:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 2-1 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2024-03-03T11:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 0-0 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2023-10-22T10:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 1-1 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2023-01-22T11:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 0-0 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2022-09-24T10:00:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 0-0 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
- 2022-03-12T15:30:00.000Z · Pozoblanco 0-1 Córdoba II (Tercera División RFEF - Group 10)
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dos Hermanas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Utrera | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 3 | Betis C | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tomares | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Xerez Deportivo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Portuense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pozoblanco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | San Roque Lepe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Ceuta II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiclana | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Conil | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Egabrense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Linense | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Recreativo Huelva | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Cádiz II | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Bollullos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Sevilla III | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Córdoba II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pozoblanco win, at 65.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.