Satalice Stadium · Analysis updated 11:06 UTC
Prague Raptors W vs Sparta Praha W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Prague Raptors W and 1.73 for Sparta Praha W, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Sparta Praha W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sparta Praha W win
46.3% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Prague Raptors W home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Sparta Praha W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Praha W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 30% / 24% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Prague Raptors W and 1.73 for Sparta Praha W, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–17.3%
- 0–26.9%
Recent form
Prague Raptors W
- 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 3-0 (W)
Sparta Praha W
- 2026-09-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Farul Constanţa W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 27 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Slovácko W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 13 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 6 | Prague Raptors W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -29 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sparta Praha W win, at 46.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.