Switzerland · 2. Liga Interregional - Group 2 · Group 2 - 2715:00
PrattelnLWWWL

4 – 0

Saturday, 24 May 2025

Sportplatz Sandgrube · Analysis updated 18:22 UTC

Pratteln vs Tavannes / Tramelan Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Pratteln and 1.35 for Tavannes / Tramelan, a combined total of 3.67. That distribution gives Pratteln the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Pratteln win

59.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.32 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Pratteln home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pratteln to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.32 goals for Pratteln and 1.35 for Tavannes / Tramelan, a combined 3.67 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 67%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Pratteln win59%
Draw19%
Tavannes / Tramelan win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 2–26.2%

Recent form

Pratteln

  • 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lommiswil · 1-4 (L)
  • 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ueberstorf · 4-1 (W)
  • 2025-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Düdingen · 2-0 (W)
  • 2025-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tavannes / Tramelan · 4-0 (W)
  • 2025-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Old Boys · 2-5 (L)

Tavannes / Tramelan

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    2. Liga Interregional - Group 2 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Old Boys3021364766
    2Bosporus3018573259
    3Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy II3018483058
    4Düdingen3015871253
    5Bosna Neuchâtel3015691751
    6Dornach30155101550
    7Ajoie-Monterri3011712-440
    8Pratteln3011514-938
    9Ueberstorf3091011-1237
    10Allschwil3010713-1537
    11Muri-Gümligen309813-835
    12Lyss309516-1832
    13Binningen308814-1732
    14Lerchenfeld308715-2431
    15Lommiswil3071013-1831
    16Tavannes / Tramelan306222-2820

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Pratteln win, at 59.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

    A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.