Sportplatz Sandgrube · Analysis updated 15:32 UTC
Pratteln vs Ueberstorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.94 expected goals for Pratteln and 1.47 for Ueberstorf, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Pratteln the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pratteln win
48.7% probability
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.47
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pratteln home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pratteln to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.94 goals for Pratteln and 1.47 for Ueberstorf, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Pratteln
- 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lommiswil · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ueberstorf · 4-1 (W)
- 2025-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Düdingen · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tavannes / Tramelan · 4-0 (W)
- 2025-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Old Boys · 2-5 (L)
Ueberstorf
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Liga Interregional - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Boys | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Bosporus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy II | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 58 |
| 4 | Düdingen | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Bosna Neuchâtel | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Dornach | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Ajoie-Monterri | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Pratteln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 | Ueberstorf | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Allschwil | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 11 | Muri-Gümligen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Lyss | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Binningen | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lerchenfeld | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | Lommiswil | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Tavannes / Tramelan | 30 | 6 | 2 | 22 | -28 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pratteln win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.