· Analysis updated 19:46 UTC
Přepeře vs Svitavy Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.70 expected goals for Přepeře and 0.85 for Svitavy, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Přepeře the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Přepeře win
87.2% probability
Expected goals
3.70 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Svitavy away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Přepeře to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 87%, against 87% / 8% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.70 goals for Přepeře and 0.85 for Svitavy, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 55%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
13%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–08.9%
- 4–08.3%
- 3–17.6%
- 2–07.2%
- 4–17.0%
Recent form
Přepeře
Svitavy
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kosmonosy · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vysoké Mýto · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Přepeře · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Trutnov · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-03T08:30:00.000Z · Přepeře 3-1 Svitavy (4. liga - Divizie C)
- 2026-05-09T08:30:00.000Z · Přepeře 1-0 Svitavy (4. liga - Divizie C)
- 2025-10-12T14:00:00.000Z · Přepeře 4-0 Svitavy (4. liga - Divizie C)
4. liga - Divizie C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vysoké Mýto | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Kosmonosy | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Přepeře | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 27 |
| 4 | Trutnov | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Turnov | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 8 | Spartak Police n/Metují | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Kolín | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Slavia Hradec Králové | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Dvůr Králové | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Hlinsko | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Vykan | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Svitavy | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -20 | 5 |
| 15 | Letohrad | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -24 | 5 |
| 16 | Chrudim II | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -35 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Přepeře win, at 87.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 87% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.