· Analysis updated 10:51 UTC
Přepeře vs Vysoké Mýto Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.88 expected goals for Přepeře and 2.13 for Vysoké Mýto, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Přepeře the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Přepeře win
54.0% probability
Expected goals
2.88 – 2.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Vysoké Mýto away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Přepeře to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 18% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.88 goals for Přepeře and 2.13 for Vysoké Mýto, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 83%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.3%
- 3–26.0%
- 2–15.9%
- 3–15.7%
- 2–34.5%
Recent form
Přepeře
Vysoké Mýto
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Orlicí · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vykan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Svitavy · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dvůr Králové · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Hlinsko · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vysoké Mýto | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 30 |
| 2 | Přepeře | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Kosmonosy | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 |
| 4 | Trutnov | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Turnov | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 8 | Spartak Police n/Metují | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Kolín | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Dvůr Králové | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Slavia Hradec Králové | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Hlinsko | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Vykan | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Svitavy | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
| 15 | Letohrad | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -25 | 2 |
| 16 | Chrudim II | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -35 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Přepeře win, at 54.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 83% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.