England · Non League Premier - Northern · Matchweek 4214:00

2 – 0

Saturday, 25 April 2026

The Auto Safety Centre Stadium · Analysis updated 04:55 UTC

Prescot Cables vs Bamber Bridge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Prescot Cables and 1.22 for Bamber Bridge, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Prescot Cables the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Prescot Cables win

59.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Prescot Cables home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bamber Bridge away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Prescot Cables to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.18 goals for Prescot Cables and 1.22 for Bamber Bridge, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Prescot Cables win59%
Draw20%
Bamber Bridge win21%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 3–17.0%

Recent form

Prescot Cables

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallam · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Atherton Collieries · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Pontefract Collieries · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Horbury Town · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Vauxhall Motors · 4-1 (W)

Bamber Bridge

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Quorn · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Guiseley AFC · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stockton Town · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alfreton Town · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Trafford · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Non League Premier - Northern table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic1510412034
2Cleethorpes Town149322230
3Guiseley AFC139131528
4Gainsborough Trinity149141428
5Avro149141028
6Workington15735124
7Rylands14725423
8Warrington Town14653423
9Curzon Ashton13715722
10Alfreton Town15627420
11Lancaster City16628-920
12Bury116141119
13Whitby Town15618-1519
14AFC Emley15456-1017
15Hyde United15438-1415
16Leek Town13355014
17Ashton United14356-114
18Quorn13355-614
19Stockton Town15339-1012
20United of Manchester13247-610
21Bamber Bridge14248-1710
22Ilkeston Town153111-2410

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Prescot Cables win, at 59.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.