World · Friendlies Clubs · Friendly18:30

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Tuesday, 21 July 2026

MarineDWWWL

· Analysis updated 05:56 UTC

Prescot Cables vs Marine Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Prescot Cables and 1.22 for Marine, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Prescot Cables the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Prescot Cables home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Marine away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Prescot Cables to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 26% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.39 goals for Prescot Cables and 1.22 for Marine, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Prescot Cables win41%
Draw26%
Marine win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.6%

Recent form

Prescot Cables

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hallam · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Atherton Collieries · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Pontefract Collieries · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Horbury Town · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Vauxhall Motors · 4-1 (W)

Marine

  • 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Oxford City · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hartlepool · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Spalding United · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Warrington Town · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Merthyr Town · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.