Deepdale · Analysis updated 05:13 UTC
Preston vs Norwich Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for Preston and 1.31 for Norwich, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Preston the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Preston or Draw
68.6% probability
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.31
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–17.2%
Why the model likes this
Preston home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Norwich away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Recent form
Preston
- 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Bolton · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Huddersfield · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stockport County · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Bradford · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Marine · 0-3 (L)
Norwich
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs West Brom · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Milton Keynes Dons · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cambridge United · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Osasuna · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fulham · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-14T15:00:00.000Z · Preston 0-2 Norwich (Championship)
- 2025-12-20T12:30:00.000Z · Preston 1-1 Norwich (Championship)
- 2025-02-11T20:00:00.000Z · Preston 1-0 Norwich (Championship)
- 2024-10-22T18:45:00.000Z · Preston 2-2 Norwich (Championship)
- 2024-04-13T14:00:00.000Z · Preston 0-1 Norwich (Championship)
- 2023-12-09T15:00:00.000Z · Preston 0-0 Norwich (Championship)
- 2023-01-14T15:00:00.000Z · Preston 0-4 Norwich (Championship)
- 2022-10-08T14:00:00.000Z · Preston 3-2 Norwich (Championship)
- 2021-04-02T14:00:00.000Z · Preston 1-1 Norwich (Championship)
- 2020-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Preston 2-2 Norwich (Championship)
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QPR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | West Brom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Swansea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Blackburn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Wolves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Norwich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Stoke City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Lincoln | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.