South-Africa · Super League Women · Group stage07:00

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Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 10:44 UTC

Pretoria U. W vs Copperbelt Ladies W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Pretoria U. W and 1.17 for Copperbelt Ladies W, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Pretoria U. W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Pretoria U. W win

45.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.17

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Pretoria U. W home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Copperbelt Ladies W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pretoria U. W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 25% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for Pretoria U. W and 1.17 for Copperbelt Ladies W, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Pretoria U. W win46%
Draw25%
Copperbelt Ladies W win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 2–07.9%

Recent form

Pretoria U. W

  • 2026-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Diepkloof W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Copperbelt Ladies W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T07:00:00.000Z · A vs UWC W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Stellenbosch W · 4-0 (W)

Copperbelt Ladies W

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs UWC W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Pretoria U. W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stellenbosch W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mamelodi Sundowns W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TS Galaxy W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Pretoria U. W win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.