· Analysis updated 03:03 UTC
Preußen Münster II vs Ennepetal Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.42 expected goals for Preußen Münster II and 1.15 for Ennepetal, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives Preußen Münster II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.5% probability
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Preußen Münster II home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ennepetal away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–07.7%
Recent form
Preußen Münster II
- 2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ennepetal · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs TuS Hordel · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lippstadt 08 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Schermbeck · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-08T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Schalke 04 II · 1-4 (L)
Ennepetal
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vreden · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · H vs ASC Dortmund · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hiltrup · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Verl II · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-22T14:30:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 2-1 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2025-08-31T13:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 3-1 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2025-05-11T13:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 5-0 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2025-02-20T18:30:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 3-2 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2024-05-20T13:30:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 1-0 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2024-02-11T14:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 0-0 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2023-04-30T13:30:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 1-1 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2022-11-06T13:30:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 2-0 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2022-06-06T13:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 3-1 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
- 2022-03-06T14:15:00.000Z · Preußen Münster II 1-2 Ennepetal (Oberliga - Westfalen)
Oberliga - Westfalen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gievenbeck | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Vreden | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Maaslingen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Eintracht Rheine | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Arminia II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Lippstadt 08 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | ASC Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Erkenschwick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Sprockhovel | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 | Preußen Münster II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Verl II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Hiltrup | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | TuS Hordel | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Ennepetal | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Victoria Clarholz | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.