· Analysis updated 20:08 UTC
Preußen Münster II vs Lippstadt 08 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for Preußen Münster II and 1.29 for Lippstadt 08, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Preußen Münster II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Preußen Münster II win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.29
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Preußen Münster II home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lippstadt 08 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Preußen Münster II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for Preußen Münster II and 1.29 for Lippstadt 08, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–07.2%
Recent form
Preußen Münster II
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hiltrup · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Verl II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Victoria Clarholz · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Maaslingen · 2-0 (W)
Lippstadt 08
- 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Schermbeck · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Rheine · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sprockhovel · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vreden · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Westfalen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gievenbeck | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Vreden | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Maaslingen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Eintracht Rheine | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Arminia II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Lippstadt 08 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | ASC Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | Erkenschwick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Sprockhovel | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 | Preußen Münster II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Verl II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 12 | Westfalia Kinderhaus | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Hiltrup | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | TuS Hordel | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 16 | Ennepetal | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Victoria Clarholz | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Schermbeck | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster II win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.