· Analysis updated 17:39 UTC
Preußen Münster U19 vs Havelse U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.03 expected goals for Preußen Münster U19 and 0.67 for Havelse U19, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Preußen Münster U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Preußen Münster U19 win
83.8% probability
Expected goals
3.03 – 0.67
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Preußen Münster U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Havelse U19 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Preußen Münster U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 11% / 5% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.03 goals for Preußen Münster U19 and 0.67 for Havelse U19, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–011.4%
- 2–011.3%
- 4–08.6%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Preußen Münster U19
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Magdeburg U19 · 3-4 (L)
Havelse U19
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster U19 win, at 83.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.