Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Matchweek 1211:00

3 – 3

Saturday, 9 May 2026

· Analysis updated 17:44 UTC

Preußen Münster U19 vs Meppen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Preußen Münster U19 and 1.41 for Meppen U19, a combined total of 3.69. That distribution gives Preußen Münster U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Preußen Münster U19 win

57.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.28 – 1.41

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Preußen Münster U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Meppen U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Preußen Münster U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 20% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.28 goals for Preußen Münster U19 and 1.41 for Meppen U19, a combined 3.69 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Preußen Münster U19 win57%
Draw20%
Meppen U19 win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 2–06.5%
  • 2–26.5%

Recent form

Preußen Münster U19

  • 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Magdeburg U19 · 3-4 (L)

Meppen U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster U19 win, at 57.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.