Preußen Münster U19 vs Paderborn U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Preußen Münster U19 and 1.00 for Paderborn U19, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Preußen Münster U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Preußen Münster U19 win

70.8% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.55 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Preußen Münster U19 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Paderborn U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Preußen Münster U19 win71%

Draw16%

Paderborn U19 win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

2–09.3%
2–19.3%
3–07.9%
3–17.9%
1–07.3%

Recent form

Preußen Münster U19

2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Magdeburg U19 · 3-4 (L)

Paderborn U19

2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse U19 · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC U19 · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 3-0 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2025-12-06T12:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 1-2 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2025-09-21T10:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 2-2 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2023-03-11T12:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 1-5 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2021-10-23T10:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 2-4 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2020-10-18T10:30:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 2-0 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2019-04-28T11:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 1-2 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2018-11-10T12:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 2-3 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2018-04-21T09:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 0-3 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
2017-11-04T10:00:00.000Z · Preußen Münster U19 0-2 Paderborn U19 (U19 Bundesliga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Preußen Münster U19 win, at 70.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.