Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · Group A - 513:00
Příbram IIDDDDW

7 – 2

Saturday, 5 September 2026

SK Tochovice - trava · Analysis updated 02:59 UTC

Příbram II vs Bohemians 1905 II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Příbram II and 1.48 for Bohemians 1905 II, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Příbram II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Příbram II home form

    5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bohemians 1905 II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Příbram II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Příbram II and 1.48 for Bohemians 1905 II, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Příbram II win41%
Draw24%
Bohemians 1905 II win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 0–16.8%

Recent form

Příbram II

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aritma Praha · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Písek · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha II · 0-0 (D)

Bohemians 1905 II

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 7-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · Příbram II 7-2 Bohemians 1905 II (3. liga - CFL A)
  • 2026-04-12T08:15:00.000Z · Příbram II 0-3 Bohemians 1905 II (3. liga - CFL A)
  • 2025-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · Příbram II 2-1 Bohemians 1905 II (3. liga - CFL A)

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II104421016
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Písek12354-614
11Příbram II11344-113
12Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
13Dukla Praha II12255-311
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.