Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · Group A - 213:00
Příbram IIDDDDW

0 – 2

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Stadion Na Litavce · Analysis updated 10:06 UTC

Příbram II vs České Budějovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Příbram II and 2.43 for České Budějovice, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives České Budějovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

České Budějovice win

55.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 2.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Příbram II home form

    5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • České Budějovice away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates České Budějovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 25% / 19% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Příbram II and 2.43 for České Budějovice, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Příbram II win25%
Draw19%
České Budějovice win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 1–36.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 2–15.5%

Recent form

Příbram II

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aritma Praha · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Písek · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha II · 0-0 (D)

České Budějovice

  • 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 3-6 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II104421016
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Písek12354-614
11Příbram II11344-113
12Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
13Dukla Praha II12255-311
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is České Budějovice win, at 55.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.