SK Tochovice - trava · Analysis updated 17:34 UTC
Příbram II vs Dukla Praha II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.30 expected goals for Příbram II and 1.70 for Dukla Praha II, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Příbram II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Příbram II win
51.5% probability
Expected goals
2.30 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Příbram II home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dukla Praha II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Příbram II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 20% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.30 goals for Příbram II and 1.70 for Dukla Praha II, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.2%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–26.1%
Recent form
Příbram II
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aritma Praha · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Písek · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha II · 0-0 (D)
Dukla Praha II
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Jiskra Domažlice | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Loko Vltavín | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Sparta Praha II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Admira Praha | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Příbram II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Dukla Praha II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Písek | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 | Benešov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Aritma Praha | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Příbram II win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.