UMT Pribram · Referee J. Wulkan · Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
Příbram vs Prostějov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Příbram and 0.85 for Prostějov, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Příbram the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Příbram win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Příbram home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Prostějov away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Příbram to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 29% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Příbram and 0.85 for Prostějov, a combined 2.10 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.3%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–012.2%
- 0–110.4%
- 2–09.6%
Recent form
Příbram
- 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Kladno · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Žižkov · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná · 2-1 (W)
Prostějov
- 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
FNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karviná | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Vysočina Jihlava | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Vlašim | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Příbram | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Táborsko | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Viktoria Žižkov | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavia Praha II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Kladno | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Opava | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Prostějov | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Třinec | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Hanácká | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Příbram win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.