Barbados · Premier League · Matchweek 922:00

1 – 1

Sunday, 8 March 2026

· Analysis updated 15:34 UTC

Pride of Gall Hill vs Weymouth Wales Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Pride of Gall Hill and 1.03 for Weymouth Wales, a combined total of 1.73. That distribution gives Weymouth Wales the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

75.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.70 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Pride of Gall Hill home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Weymouth Wales away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Pride of Gall Hill win25%
Draw33%
Weymouth Wales win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals51%
Over 2.5 goals25%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score32%

Correct score

  • 0–118.3%
  • 0–017.8%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.5%
  • 0–29.4%

Recent form

Pride of Gall Hill

  • 2026-05-29T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Weymouth Wales · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-19T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Bagatelle · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-13T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Wotton · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T20:00:00.000Z · H vs UWI Blackbirds · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-04-20T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Ellerton · 2-2 (D)

Weymouth Wales

  • 2026-07-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mount Pleasant Academy · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Britannia · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-29T01:00:00.000Z · A vs Pride of Gall Hill · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Kick Start · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-18T00:00:00.000Z · H vs UWI Blackbirds · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-29T01:00:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 1-2 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)
  • 2026-03-08T22:00:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 1-1 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)
  • 2025-05-04T01:00:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 3-2 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)
  • 2025-03-02T22:00:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 0-4 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)
  • 2014-06-13T00:30:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 0-1 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)
  • 2013-07-20T23:00:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 1-3 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)
  • 2012-06-06T22:00:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 1-3 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)
  • 2012-04-04T22:00:00.000Z · Pride of Gall Hill 0-0 Weymouth Wales (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weymouth Wales1816115649
2Brittons Hill189632033
3Ellerton189631633
4UWI Blackbirds187831429
5Pride of Gall Hill18765-127
6Kick Start18639-421
7Paradise18558120
8Wotton18468-1218
9Deacons185211-3117
10Silver Sands180117-591

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 75.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 25%.

A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.