· Analysis updated 16:13 UTC
Prishtina Bern vs Coffrane Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Prishtina Bern and 0.99 for Coffrane, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Prishtina Bern the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Prishtina Bern win
56.7% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Prishtina Bern home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Coffrane away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prishtina Bern to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 23% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Prishtina Bern and 0.99 for Coffrane, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–011.0%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.1%
Recent form
Prishtina Bern
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Payerne · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vevey Sports · 3-2 (W)
Coffrane
- 2026-10-09T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sion II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lancy · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prishtina Bern · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Azzurri Bienne · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Prishtina Bern win, at 56.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.