Prison Leopards vs Mines Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Prison Leopards and 0.58 for Mines, a combined total of 1.80. That distribution gives Prison Leopards the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Prison Leopards win

52.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.23 – 0.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Prison Leopards home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mines away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prison Leopards to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 30% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Prison Leopards and 0.58 for Mines, a combined 1.80 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Prison Leopards win52%

Draw30%

Mines win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals54%

Over 2.5 goals27%

Over 3.5 goals11%

Both teams to score31%

Correct score

1–020.2%
0–016.5%
2–012.4%
1–111.6%
0–19.5%

Recent form

Prison Leopards

2026-09-12T07:00:00.000Z · H vs NAPSA Stars · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nkwazi · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Green Buffaloes · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kansanshi Dynamos · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Man Utd Zambia Academy · 0-2 (L)

Mines

2026-05-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Green Eagles · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ZESCO United · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mutondo Stars · 1-3 (L)
2026-05-14T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Konkola Blades · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zanaco · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-04-01T13:00:00.000Z · Prison Leopards 3-0 Mines (Super League)
2025-11-01T13:00:00.000Z · Prison Leopards 2-2 Mines (Super League)

Super League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zanaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ZESCO United	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Nchanga Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Green Buffaloes	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Nkana	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Kabwe Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Power Dynamos	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Red Arrows	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Konkola Blades	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Roan United	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	NAPSA Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Green Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Man Utd Zambia Academy	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Nkwazi	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Kansanshi Dynamos	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Mufulira Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Trident	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Mutondo Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Makeni All Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Chirundu Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Prison Leopards win, at 52.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 31% and over 2.5 goals at 27%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.