Kosovo · Liga E Pare · Matchweek 3013:00

5 – 1

Sunday, 26 April 2026

· Analysis updated 11:01 UTC

Prizreni vs KEK-u Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Prizreni vs KEK-u in the Liga E Pare: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • KEK-u away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Prizreni to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Prizreni and 1.18 for KEK-u, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Prizreni or KEK-u yet, so these numbers are a Liga E Pare scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Prizreni win44%
Draw26%
KEK-u win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Prizreni

    KEK-u

    • 2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vëllaznimi · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ramiz Sadiku · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Trepça Mitrovicë · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Prizreni · 1-5 (L)
    • 2026-04-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Istogu · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga E Pare table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Prishtina e Re12813925
    2Liria Prizren107211023
    3Rilindja 197411632721
    4Trepça'8911551620
    5Ferizaj115421019
    6Dinamo Ferizaj11542819
    7Vëllaznimi12525-417
    8Suhareka11443516
    9Istogu11515-416
    102 Korriku11434015
    11Vjosa11353414
    12FC Besa Peja11335-212
    13Trepça Mitrovicë11326-1011
    14Ramiz Sadiku12165-69
    15KF Lepenci11164-69
    16Kika11164-99
    17Tefik Canga12147-87
    18Mitrovica10055-105

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.