Ghana · Division One League · Matchweek 515:00

1 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

New EdubiaseLLLDL

· Analysis updated 10:41 UTC

Pro-Sports Academy vs New Edubiase Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Pro-Sports Academy and 0.30 for New Edubiase, a combined total of 1.62. That distribution gives Pro-Sports Academy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 19% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Pro-Sports Academy win

63.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pro-Sports Academy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 28% / 8% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.32 goals for Pro-Sports Academy and 0.30 for New Edubiase, a combined 1.62 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 22% and both teams to score at 19%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%.

  • Model confidence

    The headline pick is rated 63% with moderate confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.

Match result (1X2)

Pro-Sports Academy win63%
Draw28%
New Edubiase win8%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals48%
Over 2.5 goals22%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams to score19%

Correct score

  • 1–026.1%
  • 0–019.7%
  • 2–017.2%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 3–07.6%

Recent form

Pro-Sports Academy

    New Edubiase

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Division One League table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Ebusua Dwarfs5401312
      1Koforidua54101113
      1Sankara Nationals5410413
      1VC Warriors5311510
      2Nations5320411
      2Inter Allies5320411
      2Real Tamale5311410
      2Mighty Royals5311510
      3Pro-Sports Academy5311610
      3Hakla SC523039
      3Steadfast522138
      3Techiman Liberty521217
      4Ebony FC5311210
      4Accra Lions522138
      4Berekum City5212-17
      4Yapei5212-17
      5Soccer Intellectuals523029
      5Okwawu522118
      5Wa Power512205
      5Bectero Sasana5212-17
      6Nsuopun Fidelity522118
      6WAFA5221-38
      6Kalibi SC5122-55
      6Dormaa5212-17
      7Elmina Sharks522108
      7Golden Kicks521227
      7Tamale City5113-24
      7Eleven Wonders5113-44
      8Fettehman United514027
      87th Wave514017
      8Northern City5023-32
      8KAC Soccer5113-44
      9Skyy521217
      9Nania521207
      10Ebiemo FC5203-16
      10Home Stars513116
      11PAC Academy5122-15
      11True Democracy5131-26
      12Rospak5113-24
      12Attram de Visser5122-25
      13King Faisal5113-44
      13Great Olympics5113-24
      14Sefwi All Stars5032-23
      14Nukunu5113-54
      15Future Stars5104-73
      15Kotoku Royals5023-52
      16New Edubiase5014-41
      16Golden Warriors5005-70

      Prediction conclusion

      The model's leading selection is Pro-Sports Academy win, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

      It puts both teams scoring at 19% and over 2.5 goals at 22%.

      A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.