Stade Municipal Sakiet Eddaier · Analysis updated 17:29 UTC
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and 0.91 for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win
55.2% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 24% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and 0.91 for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.6%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.6%
Recent form
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs CS Sfaxien · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympique Béja · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · H vs CS Hammam-Lif · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs AS Marsa · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · 2-0 (W)
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs ES Tunis · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-24T14:30:00.000Z · H vs ES Tunis · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-21T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Marsa · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win, at 55.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.