Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim · Analysis updated 06:27 UTC
Prostějov vs Hradec Králové Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Prostějov and 1.68 for Hradec Králové, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives Prostějov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Prostějov win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Prostějov home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hradec Králové away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prostějov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 21% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Prostějov and 1.68 for Hradec Králové, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.5%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 3–15.7%
Recent form
Prostějov
- 2026-10-25T09:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha II · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 2-2 (D)
Hradec Králové
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Artis · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Prostějov win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.