Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim · Referee J. Machalek · Analysis updated 13:26 UTC
Prostějov vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Prostějov and 1.49 for Sigma Olomouc, a combined total of 3.02. That distribution gives Prostějov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.0% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Prostějov home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sigma Olomouc away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prostějov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 24% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Prostějov and 1.49 for Sigma Olomouc, a combined 3.02 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–17.3%
Recent form
Prostějov
- 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ústí nad Labem · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 0-0 (D)
Sigma Olomouc
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Plzen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Prostějov · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.