Egypt · Second League · Matchweek 912:30
ProxyDWDLL

3 – 2

Friday, 16 October 2026

Proxy Club Stadium · Analysis updated 12:51 UTC

Proxy vs El Entag EL Harby Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for Proxy and 1.67 for El Entag EL Harby, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives El Entag EL Harby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

El Entag EL Harby win

46.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • El Entag EL Harby away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates El Entag EL Harby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 30% / 24% / 46% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.29 goals for Proxy and 1.67 for El Entag EL Harby, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Proxy win30%
Draw24%
El Entag EL Harby win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 2–17.2%

Recent form

Proxy

    El Entag EL Harby

    • 2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · H vs El Mansura · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-10-16T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Proxy · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-10-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs La Viena FC · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs El Seka El Hadid · 4-5 (L)
    • 2026-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Tanta SC · 0-0 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Second League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Masar107121122
    2Haras El Hodood10550820
    3Itesalat10613719
    4Pharco10613419
    5Kahraba Ismailia10532818
    6Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat10532518
    7AL Nasr SC10451617
    8Tersana10451517
    9El Mansura10523217
    10El Seka El Hadid10433215
    11Baladiyyat Al Mehalla10334012
    12Team10325-511
    13El Entag EL Harby10244110
    14Ismaily SC10244-410
    15Tanta SC10244-410
    16El Dakhleya10244-610
    17Proxy10226-78
    18La Viena FC10145-67
    19Dayrout10136-166
    20Mega Sport10037-113

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is El Entag EL Harby win, at 46.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

    A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.