· Analysis updated 18:08 UTC
PSGC Ciamis vs Persiku Kudus Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.11 expected goals for PSGC Ciamis and 0.99 for Persiku Kudus, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives PSGC Ciamis the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
PSGC Ciamis win
63.3% probability
Expected goals
2.11 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
PSGC Ciamis home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Persiku Kudus away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates PSGC Ciamis to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 20% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.11 goals for PSGC Ciamis and 0.99 for Persiku Kudus, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–07.1%
Recent form
PSGC Ciamis
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs PSIS Semarang · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Bekasi City · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Persiku Kudus · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Semen Padang · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sumsel United · 2-0 (W)
Persiku Kudus
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Semen Padang · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs PSPS · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sumsel United · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-03T08:30:00.000Z · H vs PSGC Ciamis · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · H vs PSIS Semarang · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSPS | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Deltras | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | PSMS Medan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 |
| 5 | Persela Lamongan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | RANS Nusantara | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Barito Putera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok FC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Persipura Jayapura | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Sumsel United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | PSIS Semarang | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Semen Padang | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Persis Solo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Persiraja Banda Aceh | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | PSGC Ciamis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Bekasi City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Dejan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Persiku Kudus | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
| 19 | Persiba Balikpapan | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 0 |
| 20 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -36 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is PSGC Ciamis win, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.