Centre sportif de Rochettaz · Analysis updated 11:28 UTC
Pully Football vs Collex-Bossy Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Pully Football and 1.44 for Collex-Bossy, a combined total of 2.59. That distribution gives Collex-Bossy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
70.0% probability
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pully Football home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Collex-Bossy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 30% / 26% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.14 goals for Pully Football and 1.44 for Collex-Bossy, a combined 2.59 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–27.8%
Recent form
Pully Football
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Genolier-Begnins · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Farvagny / Ogoz · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Collex-Bossy · 3-2 (W)
- 2025-05-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Amical Saint-Prex · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-05-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Châtel-St-Denis · 1-0 (W)
Collex-Bossy
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Étoile Carouge · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs UGS · 3-1 (W)
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Pully Football · 2-3 (L)
- 2025-05-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Signal · 1-0 (W)
- 2025-05-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Amical Saint-Prex · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · Pully Football 3-2 Collex-Bossy (2. Liga Interregional - Group 1)
- 2024-11-09T16:00:00.000Z · Pully Football 0-3 Collex-Bossy (2. Liga Interregional - Group 1)
- 2023-04-23T13:30:00.000Z · Pully Football 2-0 Collex-Bossy (2. Liga Interregional - Group 1)
- 2022-10-01T15:00:00.000Z · Pully Football 2-2 Collex-Bossy (2. Liga Interregional - Group 1)
2. Liga Interregional - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amical Saint-Prex | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 61 |
| 2 | Martigny Sports | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Collex-Bossy | 30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 52 |
| 4 | Terre Sainte | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Farvagny / Ogoz | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Pully Football | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Olympique de Genève | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 | Vernier | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 42 |
| 9 | UGS | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Concordia Lausanne | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 37 |
| 11 | Signal | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Echichens | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Collombey-Muraz | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Romontois | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy III | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -15 | 32 |
| 16 | Châtel-St-Denis | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | -49 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 70.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.