Pusamania Borneo vs Persija Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.97 expected goals for Pusamania Borneo and 1.70 for Persija, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives Persija the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Persija win

54.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Pusamania Borneo home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Persija away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Persija to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 21% / 24% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.97 goals for Pusamania Borneo and 1.70 for Persija, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Pusamania Borneo win21%

Draw24%

Persija win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

79%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

0–111.8%
1–111.4%
0–210.0%
1–29.7%
0–06.9%

Recent form

Pusamania Borneo

2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Tainan City · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Yangon United · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-11T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Java United · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Buriram United · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Bali United · 1-0 (W)

Persija

2026-10-21T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Arema FC · 5-1 (W)
2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Persita · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · A vs PSIM Yogyakarta · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Java United · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Persib Bandung · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Persija	6	5	0	1	10	15
2	Dewa United	7	4	2	1	2	14
3	Bali United	7	4	1	2	12	13
4	Persepam Madura Utd	6	4	1	1	4	13
5	Persib Bandung	7	4	1	2	3	13
6	Persita	6	3	3	0	3	12
7	Bhayangkara FC	6	2	4	0	3	10
8	Persik Kediri	6	3	1	2	3	10
9	Arema FC	7	2	3	2	2	9
10	Persebaya Surabaya	6	2	3	1	1	9
11	PSM Makassar	6	2	2	2	-3	8
12	Java United	7	2	3	2	0	7
13	Pusamania Borneo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Garudayaksa	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	PSS Sleman	6	1	1	4	-2	4
16	Isenmulang Kalteng	7	1	2	4	-9	3
17	PSIM Yogyakarta	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Persijap	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Persija win, at 54.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.