Poland · I Liga · Regular Season - 313:30

31

Saturday, 8 August 2026

Odra OpoleWLWL

· Referee P. Urban · Analysis updated 00:50 UTC

Puszcza Niepołomice vs Odra Opole Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Puszcza Niepołomice and 1.09 for Odra Opole, a combined total of 2.42. That distribution gives Puszcza Niepołomice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Puszcza Niepołomice or Draw

69.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Puszcza Niepołomice win42%
Draw27%
Odra Opole win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.8%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 2–18.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Puszcza Niepołomice home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Puszcza Niepołomice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 27% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Puszcza Niepołomice and 1.09 for Odra Opole, a combined 2.42 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Puszcza Niepołomice

  • 2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Odra Opole · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Jarosław · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Widzew Łódź · 0-2 (L)

Odra Opole

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.