Vietnam · V.League 2 · Matchweek 1811:00

1 – 0

Sunday, 10 May 2026

· Analysis updated 00:00 UTC

PVF-CAND vs Sanna Khanh Hoa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for PVF-CAND and 0.73 for Sanna Khanh Hoa, a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives PVF-CAND the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

PVF-CAND win

54.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • PVF-CAND home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sanna Khanh Hoa away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates PVF-CAND to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 27% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.45 goals for PVF-CAND and 0.73 for Sanna Khanh Hoa, a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

PVF-CAND win55%
Draw27%
Sanna Khanh Hoa win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–016.5%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–011.9%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–18.7%

Recent form

PVF-CAND

  • 2026-06-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bắc Ninh · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Than Quang Ninh · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ho Chi Minh · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sanna Khanh Hoa · 1-0 (W)

Sanna Khanh Hoa

  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Văn Hiến · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-04T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Văn Hiến · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Than Quang Ninh · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Long An · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

V.League 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Thai Nguyen4400812
2Hung Yen43101210
3Sanna Khanh Hoa422048
4Binh Duong421127
5Pho Hien4211-17
6Văn Hiến4211-17
7Dong Thap420206
8Than Quang Ninh4121-15
9Binh Dinh411214
10Ho Chi Minh4112-14
11Lam Dong4103-43
12Bóng đá Huế4022-52
13Long An4013-41
14Xuan Thien Phu Tho4013-101

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is PVF-CAND win, at 54.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.