· Analysis updated 06:27 UTC
PVF-CAND vs Văn Hiến Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for PVF-CAND and 1.00 for Văn Hiến, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives PVF-CAND the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
69.5% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
PVF-CAND home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Văn Hiến away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates PVF-CAND to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 29% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for PVF-CAND and 1.00 for Văn Hiến, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.1%
- 0–111.1%
- 2–08.0%
Recent form
PVF-CAND
- 2026-06-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bắc Ninh · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Than Quang Ninh · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ho Chi Minh · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sanna Khanh Hoa · 1-0 (W)
Văn Hiến
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Binh Duong · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sanna Khanh Hoa · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-05-30T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dong Thap · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Binh Dinh · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-16T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bình Phước · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-24T11:00:00.000Z · PVF-CAND 2-1 Văn Hiến (V.League 2)
- 2025-11-07T09:00:00.000Z · PVF-CAND 1-1 Văn Hiến (V.League 2)
V.League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thai Nguyen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Hung Yen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 |
| 3 | Sanna Khanh Hoa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Binh Duong | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Dong Thap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Than Quang Ninh | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pho Hien | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Văn Hiến | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Lam Dong | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Ho Chi Minh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Long An | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Binh Dinh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Bóng đá Huế | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 14 | Xuan Thien Phu Tho | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -9 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.