30 June Air Defence Stadium · Analysis updated 16:45 UTC
Pyramids FC vs AL Nasr SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Pyramids FC and 1.07 for AL Nasr SC, a combined total of 2.51. That distribution gives Pyramids FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Pyramids FC win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Pyramids FC home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
AL Nasr SC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pyramids FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 26% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Pyramids FC and 1.07 for AL Nasr SC, a combined 2.51 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–08.5%
Recent form
Pyramids FC
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GOR Mahia · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AL Masry · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Abu Qair Semad · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 1-2 (L)
AL Nasr SC
- 2026-10-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs El Mansura · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Proxy · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs La Viena FC · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs El Seka El Hadid · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tanta SC · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Pyramids FC win, at 45.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.