Egypt · League Cup · Group stage — 114:00

3 – 2

Wednesday, 7 October 2026

30 June Stadium · Analysis updated 19:57 UTC

Pyramids FC vs Olympic El Qanah Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Pyramids FC and 1.43 for Olympic El Qanah, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Pyramids FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Pyramids FC win

54.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.43

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Pyramids FC home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Olympic El Qanah away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pyramids FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 21% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.17 goals for Pyramids FC and 1.43 for Olympic El Qanah, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Pyramids FC win54%
Draw21%
Olympic El Qanah win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 2–06.5%

Recent form

Pyramids FC

  • 2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs EL Merriekh Bentiu · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs El Geish · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EL Merriekh Bentiu · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ceramica Cleopatra · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-07T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic El Qanah · 3-2 (W)

Olympic El Qanah

  • 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AL Masry · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-07T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Pyramids FC · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Masr · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-07T14:00:00.000Z · H vs El Geish · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Wadi Degla · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

League Cup table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly110053
2Masr110033
3El Mokawloon110023
4Future FC110023
5Pyramids FC110013
6AL Masry110013
7Wadi Degla110013
8Abu Qair Semad101001
9Ghazl El Mehalla101001
10Olympic El Qanah1001-10
11Al Ittihad1001-10
12Ceramica Cleopatra1001-10
13El Gouna FC1001-20
14National Bank of Egypt1001-20
15Zamalek SC1001-30
16Asyut Petrol1001-50

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Pyramids FC win, at 54.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.