Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium · Referee I. Stojchevski · Analysis updated 10:08 UTC
Pyunik Yerevan vs Debreceni VSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Pyunik Yerevan and 0.91 for Debreceni VSC, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Pyunik Yerevan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Pyunik Yerevan win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.4%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–010.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.2%
Why the model likes this
Pyunik Yerevan home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Debreceni VSC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Pyunik Yerevan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 24% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Pyunik Yerevan and 0.91 for Debreceni VSC, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Pyunik Yerevan
- 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Van · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Urartu · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Debreceni VSC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Debreceni VSC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Marsaxlokk · 1-0 (W)
Debreceni VSC
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyori ETO FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-02T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ujpest · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · Pyunik Yerevan 0-0 Debreceni VSC (UEFA Europa Conference League)
- 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · Pyunik Yerevan 0-1 Debreceni VSC (UEFA Europa Conference League)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.