Qatar Sports Club Stadium · Analysis updated 13:40 UTC
Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Qatar SC and 3.03 for Al-Rayyan SC, a combined total of 4.15. That distribution gives Al-Rayyan SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Al-Rayyan SC win
75.4% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 3.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Qatar SC home form
0 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Al-Rayyan SC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Al-Rayyan SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 11% / 14% / 75% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Qatar SC and 3.03 for Al-Rayyan SC, a combined 4.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
25%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
89%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–38.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–37.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–46.2%
Recent form
Qatar SC
- 2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Rayyan SC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Arabi SC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahli Doha · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Al Sadd · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-08-20T14:15:00.000Z · A vs Al Wakrah · 2-2 (D)
Al-Rayyan SC
- 2026-10-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Taawon · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T14:45:00.000Z · A vs Qatar SC · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-28T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Al-Sailiya · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Qatar SC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Al Faisaly · 4-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Rayyan SC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Al-Arabi SC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al-Duhail SC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Shamal | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Wakrah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Doha | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 9 | Lusail City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -13 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Al-Rayyan SC win, at 75.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.