· Analysis updated 00:06 UTC
Queen's University vs Ballyclare Comrades Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.00 expected goals for Queen's University and 1.50 for Ballyclare Comrades, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Queen's University the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Queen's University win
67.8% probability
Expected goals
3.00 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Queen's University home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Queen's University to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 16% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.00 goals for Queen's University and 1.50 for Ballyclare Comrades, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 3–17.5%
- 4–15.6%
- 2–25.6%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
Queen's University
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Annagh United · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Ballinamallard United · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Newry City AFC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ballinamallard United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dundela · 2-0 (W)
Ballyclare Comrades
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Carrick Rangers · 1-8 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Queen's University · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Loughgall · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ballymena United · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Portadown · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · Queen's University 4-1 Ballyclare Comrades (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-05-09T18:45:00.000Z · Queen's University 0-2 Ballyclare Comrades (Championship)
- 2025-05-06T18:15:00.000Z · Queen's University 3-0 Ballyclare Comrades (Championship)
- 2022-04-23T14:00:00.000Z · Queen's University 2-2 Ballyclare Comrades (Championship)
- 2022-02-26T15:00:00.000Z · Queen's University 1-1 Ballyclare Comrades (Championship)
- 2021-11-13T15:00:00.000Z · Queen's University 2-0 Ballyclare Comrades (Championship)
- 2021-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · Queen's University 1-3 Ballyclare Comrades (Championship)
- 2021-07-31T14:00:00.000Z · Queen's University 1-2 Ballyclare Comrades (League Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Queen's University win, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.