· Analysis updated 19:08 UTC
Queens Park Rangers U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.33 expected goals for Queens Park Rangers U21 and 2.22 for Blackburn Rovers U21, a combined total of 5.55. That distribution gives Queens Park Rangers U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Queens Park Rangers U21 win
59.5% probability
Expected goals
3.33 – 2.22
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Queens Park Rangers U21 home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Blackburn Rovers U21 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Queens Park Rangers U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 16% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.33 goals for Queens Park Rangers U21 and 2.22 for Blackburn Rovers U21, a combined 5.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–25.9%
- 2–25.3%
- 3–15.3%
- 4–24.9%
- 2–14.8%
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers U21
- 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bristol City U21 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cardiff City U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Southampton U21 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Coventry City U21 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Swansea City U21 · 2-4 (L)
Blackburn Rovers U21
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Crystal Palace U21 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Reading U21 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Queens Park Rangers U21 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ipswich Town U21 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Southampton U21 · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League Cup table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Queens Park Rangers U21 win, at 59.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 85% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.