Mexico · Liga MX U21 · Regular Season - 115:00

02

Saturday, 18 July 2026

· Analysis updated 06:28 UTC

Queretaro U21 vs Club America U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for Queretaro U21 and 1.19 for Club America U21, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Queretaro U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Queretaro U21 or Draw

66.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.19

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Queretaro U21 win40%
Draw27%
Club America U21 win34%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–08.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Queretaro U21 home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Queretaro U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 27% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.31 goals for Queretaro U21 and 1.19 for Club America U21, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Queretaro U21

  • 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tigres UANL U21 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Pachuca U21 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Club America U21 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Puebla U21 · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-04-21T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cruz Azul U21 · 1-1 (D)

Club America U21

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Liga MX U21 table

    Full league page →

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.