· Analysis updated 18:18 UTC
Quilmes 2 vs Central Córdoba SdE Res. Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Quilmes 2 and 0.80 for Central Córdoba SdE Res., a combined total of 2.18. That distribution gives Quilmes 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Quilmes 2 win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Central Córdoba SdE Res. away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Quilmes 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 28% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Quilmes 2 and 0.80 for Central Córdoba SdE Res., a combined 2.18 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.7%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–011.3%
- 2–010.8%
- 0–19.0%
Recent form
Quilmes 2
Central Córdoba SdE Res.
- 2026-09-09T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Huracán Res. · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-27T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Ferro 2 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-20T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Boca Juniors Res. · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-13T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Independiente Res. · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Quilmes 2 win, at 50.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.