· Analysis updated 14:20 UTC
Qviding FIF vs Åstorp Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Qviding FIF and 1.90 for Åstorp, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Qviding FIF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.5% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Qviding FIF home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Åstorp away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Qviding FIF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Qviding FIF and 1.90 for Åstorp, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Qviding FIF
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Böljan · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Torslanda · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Galtabacks · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 3-1 (W)
Åstorp
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongahälla · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Böljan · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lindome · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Torslanda · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-06T14:00:00.000Z · Qviding FIF 2-2 Åstorp (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2025-10-19T12:00:00.000Z · Qviding FIF 1-3 Åstorp (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
- 2025-06-07T14:00:00.000Z · Qviding FIF 5-2 Åstorp (Division 2 - Västra Götaland)
Division 2 - Västra Götaland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landvetter IS | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 54 |
| 2 | Dalstorps | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Jonsered | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 42 |
| 4 | Hestrafor | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 41 |
| 5 | Lindome | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Västra Frölunda | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Böljan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Qviding FIF | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Onsala | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 30 |
| 10 | Torslanda | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Kongahälla | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -10 | 27 |
| 12 | Åstorp | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Galtabacks | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -8 | 20 |
| 14 | Astrio | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -35 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.