Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 1317:30
Qviding FIFLWLWW

3 – 2

Thursday, 18 June 2026

GaltabacksLLWLW

· Analysis updated 15:56 UTC

Qviding FIF vs Galtabacks Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Qviding FIF and 1.62 for Galtabacks, a combined total of 3.94. That distribution gives Qviding FIF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Qviding FIF win

53.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.32 – 1.62

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Qviding FIF home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Galtabacks away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Qviding FIF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 20% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.32 goals for Qviding FIF and 1.62 for Galtabacks, a combined 3.94 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Qviding FIF win53%
Draw20%
Galtabacks win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 3–16.5%
  • 1–25.9%

Recent form

Qviding FIF

  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Böljan · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Torslanda · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Galtabacks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 3-1 (W)

Galtabacks

  • 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hestrafor · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lindome · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 3-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Västra Frölunda · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2417342354
2Dalstorps2413742146
3Jonsered241266342
4Hestrafor241257941
5Lindome241149637
6Västra Frölunda241077637
7Böljan24978434
8Qviding FIF2410410034
9Onsala248610-430
10Torslanda247710-328
11Kongahälla247611-1027
12Åstorp247512-1226
13Galtabacks245514-820
14Astrio242418-3510

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Qviding FIF win, at 53.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.