Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 2417:30
Qviding FIFLWLWW

0 – 1

Friday, 2 October 2026

· Analysis updated 17:57 UTC

Qviding FIF vs Landvetter IS Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.16 expected goals for Qviding FIF and 1.76 for Landvetter IS, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Landvetter IS the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Landvetter IS win

51.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.76

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Qviding FIF home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Landvetter IS away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Landvetter IS to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 25% / 24% / 52% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.16 goals for Qviding FIF and 1.76 for Landvetter IS, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Qviding FIF win25%
Draw24%
Landvetter IS win52%

Double chance 1X

49%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–28.3%
  • 2–16.4%

Recent form

Qviding FIF

  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Böljan · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Torslanda · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Galtabacks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 3-1 (W)

Landvetter IS

  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Västra Frölunda · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Galtabacks · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Jonsered · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dalstorps · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2417342354
2Dalstorps2413742146
3Jonsered241266342
4Hestrafor241257941
5Lindome241149637
6Västra Frölunda241077637
7Böljan24978434
8Qviding FIF2410410034
9Onsala248610-430
10Torslanda247710-328
11Kongahälla247611-1027
12Åstorp247512-1226
13Galtabacks245514-820
14Astrio242418-3510

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Landvetter IS win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.