Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland · Västra Götaland - 2612:00
Qviding FIFLWLWW

3 – 1

Sunday, 18 October 2026

LindomeWLLLL

· Analysis updated 15:58 UTC

Qviding FIF vs Lindome Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Qviding FIF and 1.70 for Lindome, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Qviding FIF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Qviding FIF home form

    10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Lindome away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Qviding FIF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for Qviding FIF and 1.70 for Lindome, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Qviding FIF win40%
Draw23%
Lindome win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 1–19.4%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–05.6%

Recent form

Qviding FIF

  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Böljan · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Torslanda · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Hestrafor · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Galtabacks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 3-1 (W)

Lindome

  • 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Onsala · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Astrio · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Åstorp · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Jonsered · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Dalstorps · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Västra Götaland table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Landvetter IS2417342354
2Dalstorps2413742146
3Jonsered241266342
4Hestrafor241257941
5Lindome241149637
6Västra Frölunda241077637
7Böljan24978434
8Qviding FIF2410410034
9Onsala248610-430
10Torslanda247710-328
11Kongahälla247611-1027
12Åstorp247512-1226
13Galtabacks245514-820
14Astrio242418-3510

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.