Røa W vs LSK Kvinner W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Røa W and 1.45 for LSK Kvinner W, a combined total of 2.48. That distribution gives LSK Kvinner W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

LSK Kvinner W win

46.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Røa W home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
LSK Kvinner W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Røa W win27%

Draw26%

LSK Kvinner W win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals45%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

1–112.5%
0–112.2%
1–29.1%
0–28.8%
1–08.6%

Recent form

Røa W

2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs LSK Kvinner W · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bodø / Glimt W · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hønefoss W · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Vålerenga W · 3-6 (L)
2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyn W · 1-3 (L)

LSK Kvinner W

2026-09-01T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Bodø / Glimt W · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Molde W · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 1-2 (L)
2026-06-21T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brann W · 0-0 (D)
2026-06-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Ålesund W · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-03-21T13:00:00.000Z · Røa W 3-1 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2025-10-19T12:30:00.000Z · Røa W 2-3 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2025-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · Røa W 1-1 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2025-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · Røa W 2-1 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2024-09-07T13:00:00.000Z · Røa W 0-1 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2024-05-25T13:00:00.000Z · Røa W 1-2 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2024-03-23T14:30:00.000Z · Røa W 1-0 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2023-10-14T13:00:00.000Z · Røa W 0-1 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2023-05-21T13:00:00.000Z · Røa W 0-1 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)
2023-04-29T13:00:00.000Z · Røa W 1-1 LSK Kvinner W (Toppserien)

Toppserien table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brann W	20	16	3	1	49	51
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	20	16	2	2	31	50
3	Rosenborg W	20	12	6	2	15	42
4	Vålerenga W	20	12	2	6	23	38
5	Lyn W	20	9	5	6	12	32
6	Stabæk W	20	8	3	9	14	27
7	Haugesund W	20	7	3	10	-16	24
8	Hønefoss W	20	5	4	11	-15	19
9	Molde W	20	5	3	12	-16	18
10	Røa W	20	4	5	11	-19	17
11	LSK Kvinner W	20	4	3	13	-17	15
12	Bodø / Glimt W	20	1	3	16	-61	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is LSK Kvinner W win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.